Contrary to the initial forecasts, which indicated good weather on New Year’s Eve in Madeira, the update from IPMA now considers rain almost guaranteed. On the night of December 31st, the probability of rain is 75%.

Rain is expected to reach Madeira in the last days of the year, with its presence almost certain on New Year’s Eve, according to the latest forecasts from the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and the Atmosphere (IPMA), shattering the earlier prediction of good weather for the last night of 2023.

A high-pressure system located over the Atlantic and the approach of an upper-level trough seem to have surprised meteorologists. ‘The probability of precipitation is higher for December 31st, exceeding 75%, due to the approach of the mentioned upper-level trough to the archipelago,’ we can read in the latest statement from the IPMA.

The probability of precipitation decreases as the new year begins, with a considerable decrease in probability on January 1st and 2nd,” the same source reports.

As for the wind, it is expected to blow “weak to moderate from the South until mid-afternoon on the 29th, temporarily shifting to the North quadrant until the 1st.”

Temperatures will remain with maximum values between 20 and 23°C and minimum temperature values ranging between 14 and 18°C. There will be a slight decrease in maximum temperature on the 30th and 31st, but it will rise again on the 1st.

Sea conditions are expected to stay below 3 meters of significant wave height, with a northwest component.

IPMA will provide another update on the forecasts tomorrow, December 29, at 6:00 PM.